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NIGERIAN ECONOMIC POLICY
1999-2003
When this Administration took office in May 1999,
it inherited an economy with the following characteristics: declining
capacity utilization in the real sector, poor performance of major
infrastructural facilities, large budget deficit, rising level of
unemployment and inflation. In addition, the economy had grave problems of
import dependence, reliance on a single commodity (oil),
weak industrial base, low level of agricultural production, a weak private
sector, high external debt overhang, inefficient public utilities, low
quality of social services and an unacceptable rate of unemployment.
Guiding Principles
Since its inauguration, the Administration of
President Olusegun Obasanjo has been pursuing an economic policy inspired
by the following guiding Principles:
- The economy exists for and belongs to the
people, and at all times the general well-being of all the people shall
be the overriding objective of the government and the proper measure of
performance.
- Given the state of the economy which is
equivalent to national emergency, economic management shall involve
total commitment of the leadership at all tiers of government, and the
mobilization of the populace without creating a bloated government.
- Government shall be lean, efficient, honest,
transparent, cooperative and friendly, operate on the basis of extensive
devolution of power; and shall function mainly as a facilitator.
- Government’s primary role shall be to ensure,
in cooperation with the private sector, the urgent creation of adequate
and efficient infrastructure, particularly of energy,
telecommunications, water and financial services, to bring about a
positive and internationally-competitive environment for economic
activities.
- Private enterprise, private effort, and
non-governmental action shall play the major role in achieving the goals
of the society and the derived targets of the government.
- Everything shall be done to foster a strong
work ethic to drive productivity.
Type of Economy
Based on these guiding principles, the
Administration shall operate an economy which is
- market-oriented
- private sector-led
- highly competitive, internally and globally,
particularly in areas of comparative advantage
- technology-driven
- broad-based
- humane
- open and
- internationally significant
Objectives
Given the poor state of the economy which it
inherited, the Administration shall:
a. Revive and grow Nigeria's comatose economy.
b. Significantly raise the standard of living of
the people.
c. Put Nigerians back to gainful work and
create new employment opportunities
d. Reposition the economy to participate
beneficially in the global economy.
e. Make Nigeria the hub of the West African
economy.
Instruments
The instruments which the Administration shall use
will include the following:
- Stabilized market-responsive exchange rate
(within narrow bands and with sufficient Predictability)
- Reduced interest rate (to reach single digit as
soon as possible).
- Reduced total tax burden to a maximum of 3O per
cent of corporate and personal incomes as Soon as possible.
- Low Customs Tariff, especially for production
inputs (at less than 10 per cent,with built-in incentives for local
producers).
- Shift in government expenditure structure in
favour of productive, economic and social sectors.
- Ensuring steady and adequate fuel supply.
- Rehabilitation and reconstruction of
infrastructure, such as electricity, roads, water supply, railways and
so forth.
- Enhanced incomes for workers, particu-larly in
the public sector
- Significant poverty reduction.
- Special focus on Education and Human Capital
Development.
- High priority to Agriculture, Manufacturing,
Small/Medium Enterprises and the Informal Sector.
- Institutional rationalization of government.
- Privatization.
- Cooperation with the National Assembly.
- Generous incentives for local and foreign
direct investment.
- Reduction of Nigeria's external debt burden
through negotiation.
- Promotion of the deepening and increased
efficiency of the financial system.
- Operation of cooperative federalism to ensure
inter-tier policy consistency and effectiveness.
Summary of Targets
With vigorous implementation of the policies and
programmes which have been described, it is expected that by the year
2003 the following targets would have been achieved, compared with the
year 1999 position.
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Targets 2003
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1999
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GDP Growth Rate
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10%
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2.4%
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Inflation Rate
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Single Digit
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13%
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Gainfully employed labour force
(both formal and informal)
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70%
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50%
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Population access to safe water
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60%
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40%
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Household access to electricity
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60%
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34%
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Functional telephone lines per
1000 persons
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30
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4
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Population of School-age Children
in School
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90%
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50%
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Population literacy level
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80%
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57%
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Nutrition level (Daily Calorie)
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2500
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2120
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Other basic Human Needs (Level of
Satisfaction)
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Medium/High
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Low
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Reduction in child malnutrition
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20% of total population of
Children
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46% of total population of
Children
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Infant Mortality
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50 per 1000 births
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78 per 1000 births
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Maternal Mortality
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400 per 100,000 births
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800 per 100,000 births
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Promotion of women's participation
in informal sector and food processing and subsistence agriculture
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Recognition and inclusion in the
national accounting system of the economy
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Invisible
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Performance Measurement
The Administration shall ensure that henceforth
the assessment of the performance of the economy will derive from
guiding principles.
Macro-economic Policies
Arising from all the foregoing general principles
and targets, government shall pursue a regime of macro-economic and
sectoral policies as follows:
- Monetary policy will focus on price and
exchange rate stability, and healthy balance of payments.
- Government will pursue a low interest rate
regime in order to support the real sector of the economy. More effort
shall be made to narrow the gap between savings and lending rates.
- Government shall pursue policies which will
ensure the achievement of a moderate inflation rate in the mediurn term
(even after allowing for a possible modest rise during the reflation of
the economy).
- The exchange rate of the Naira will be
stabilized and made market-responsive. Government will sustain the
Inter-Bank Foreign Exchange market (IFEM).
- Fiscal policy will be designed to increase the
level of government revenues and to promote overall economic
development. In this regard, priority sectors like Oil and Gas, Export
Processing Zones, Solid Minerals and Agriculture will continue to
receive increased fiscal incentives. However, government will curtail
borrowing through CBN's Ways and Means. Advances to a maximum of 12.5%
of estimated current revenue, while additional loans will be sourced
through the financial market without crowding out the private sector.
- Government will rely basically on good faith
collective bargaining for the determination of incomes in both the
public and private sectors.
Poverty Reduction
Programme
The strategy to be employed shall be to empower
Nigerians in both rural and urban areas to become more economically
productive, with a view to improving their quality of life. To
avoid the mistakes of the past, projects and measures to be implemented
will be people-oriented. The people concerned, as stakeholders, will be
fully involved in determining the projects and will take owner-ship. The
Poverty reduction programme will involve the immediate improvement of
infrastructure in the urban and rural areas, with government taking the
leadership in mobilizing the necessary resources. Significant
improvements in the supply of water, energy, basic educational
facilities (both under the Universal Basic Education (UBE) scheme and
Mass Adult Literacy Programmes). Basic health facilities, roads and
transportation projects will be embarked upon immediately on a
nationwide basis. There will be established a Poverty Reduction Fund.
In view of the foregoing a number of Federal
Ministries/Institutions have been entrusted with the mandate for the
primary effort to eradicate poverty in Nigeria.
These are:
(i) Federal Ministry of Education to take charge
of Universal Basic Education (UBE).
(ii) Federal Ministry of Health to take charge
of Primary Health care programmes.
(iii) Other Ministries and relevant agencies
will take charge of employment generation, development of rural
infrastructure and economic empowerment.
4 - Year targets have been set as follows:
- Population Literacy rate in the country to
increase from its current level of 57% to 80% by the Year 2003.
- Access to Primary Health Care to increase
from its current level of 40% to 70% by the Year 2003.
- Immunization of children to increase from its
current level of40% to 100% by the Year 2003.
- Infant and maternal mortality to be reduced
by 50% by 2003.
- Access to safe potable water supply to
increase from its current level of 40% to 60% by the Year 2003.
- Access to electricity in rural areas to
increase from its current level of 34% to 60% by the Year 2003.
- Training and settlement of at least 50% of
tertiary graduates estimated at about 130,000 per annum.
- Improved rural transportation through
construction of more rural feeder roads, stock routes and jetties.
- Development and nation-wide distribution of
simple processes and machines for agriculture and small scale
industries; and
- Development and provision of soft funds and
management services for small and medium scale industries to enhance
employment and value added to the economy.
Sectoral
Policies
Government will continue to implement sectoral
and structural policy measures geared towards attaining short, medium
and long-term goals of improved economic growth,
complementarity, external sector competitiveness and poverty reduction.
However, special emphasis will be given to the following areas:
Agriculture
Agriculture will be given the highest priority
both for poverty reduction in the rural areas, and for the improvement of
the economy generally. New technology, improved seedlings, better storage
facilities, fertilizers, pesticides, etc. will be made readily available.
Government will rely on private sector enterprises to provide these
inputs. Furthermore, government will embark on massive expansion of
agricultural extension services and will ensure better and easier delivery
of credits to farmers. The government will embark on a massive
campaign, with appropriate policies designed to achieve self-sufficiency
and expanded export volumes in crops such as rice, maize, millet, sorghum,
ginger, groundnuts, cocoa, coffee, etc. as well as self-sufficiency in
industrial crops such as soya beans, palm produce, rubber and cotton.
Government will encourage the involvement of Non-Governmental
Organizations in all these measures. Effective protection, consistent with
new international agreements, will be given to operators in the sector to
ensure success. Guaranteed producers prices will be established in line
with the national priorities for self-sufficiency and increased
exports. Government will concentrate on sectors where the country has
comparative advantage and will change the nature of Nigeria's exports from
primary to processed and manufactured goods.
Health
The policy thrust in the health sector will be the
reduction by more than half of infant mortality and maternal mortality
rates, and increase in general life expectancy of Nigerians by the
provision of high quality health care services which are accessible and
affordable to all. Priority will be given to rehabilitation of facilities
in the existing hospitals and secondary health care institutions,
intensification of primary health care delivery programmes; Completion of
on-going University Teaching Hospital Projects; provision of counterpart
funding for donor-funded projects/prograrnmes, provision of funds to
sustain projects/ prograrnmes which were at one time or the other fluided
through external loans; establishment of Federal Medical Centres in the
new states; and the continued phased prosecution of the development of the
permanent sites of the five hospitals on stream.
Science and
Technology
Emphasis will be placed on achieving breakthrough
with regard to some key projects such as on-going Research and Development
Supports for Health Care, and for Honey husbandry; upgrading traditional
technology to small scale level and patenting such technologies for
adaptation in the informal sectors and subsistence agriculture sector for
higher performance and wealth generation. The formulation of a
national policy on the acquisition of computer technology shall be
completed. Other areas of emphasis will include acquisition and
commercialisation of Research and Development results; research into
enhanced agricultural productivity. The Federal Ministries of Science and
Technology (FMST) and Defence will collaborate in War Gaming to enhance
the status of the National War College.
Employment
To promote the goal of full employment and address
the critical concern of youth employment, Government will continue to
support the activities of the National Directorate of Employment (NDE) and
Micro Credit Institutions, while concerted efforts will be made to
encourage and promote self-employment.
Education and
Human Capital Development
Government will provide affordable quality
education for all Nigerians. The UBE and Mass Adult Literacy programmes
will be pursued in earnest. Government will also encourage private
provision of educational facilities at all levels. Considerable resources
will be committed to rehabilitating and improving secondary and
tertiary educational institutions. Government will pursue other areas of
human capital development through increased emphasis on industrial
apprenticeship schemes and entrepreneurship training. Government will also
develop a database of Nigerian human capital stock, which will include
skilled non-resident Nigerians, especially those in Europe and North
America.
Information and
Communications Technology
Government will create incentives to expand access
to information and communications technology which will facilitate leap-frogging
in order to short-circuit the longer span of development. Government will
encourage local production of ICT equipment and materials (computers,
telephones, TVs, etc.). Government will also encourage the development of
payment systems which will facilitate the growth of electronic-commerce.
Infrastructure
The Government will make available resources for
the refurbishment and improvement of the facilities and management of
NIGERIA TELECOMMUNICATIONS PLC (NITEL), MOBILE TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PLC and NATIONAL ELECTRIC POWER AUTHORITY(NEPA). Government will pursue
the privatization of these government enterprises. The privatization
exercise will be accomplished within the life of this Administration. The
privatization of these parastatals is not an end in itself but a way to
achieve faster increase in services provided and greater efficiency. The
government will no longer permit monopolies in these sectors. It will
create the enabling environment to attract massive private investments in
order to meet projected additional requirements of a rapidly expanding
economy.
Transport
Government will encourage private investments in
roads, railways and air transportation. Government will also sustain the
deregulation in domestic air services while it will prepare Nigeria
Airways for privatization. Furthermore, government will encourage private
sector participation in the construction and management of highways,
railways and seaports. To this end enabling laws will be introduced
in year 2000.
Oil and Gas
Government will ensure that there is adequate
budget provision to cover its share of costs of agreed production quotas.
The budget provisions will be released promptly as and when due so as to
avoid any disruption in planned operations. Every measure will be taken to
improve the workings of the joint venture technical committees to ensure
that there is equity in the apportionment of contributions between the two
sides. Government will introduce policies and incentives to ensure that
the local content of oil and gas activities reaches 40% by the year 2003.
Government will also introduce policies, create conducive environment to
make the communities in the oil producing areas effective and more
involved stakeholders in the exploitation of oil and gas resources.
Manufacturing
Government will move the country away from export
of primary commodities to the export of processed and manufactured
products. All necessary incentives and encouragement will be given
for the development of agro-allied industries. Government will bring back
into full operation the Ethylene Plant in Eleme and will promote related
downstream plants to produce intermediate petrochemical products for local
consumption and export. It will also promote new manufacturing
industries to export plastic household goods and toys, textiles and
garments, furniture etc. To this end, Government will review existing
tariffs and take all possible measures to encourage infant industries,
exploiting fully the delays allowed in applying the new World Trade
Organisation (WTO) regulations in developing countries.
Government is reviewing all uncompleted important projects in the capital
sector, e.g. iron and steel plants, pulp and paper plants, the aluminium
smelter, the purpose being to complete them where viable, and expand them
where desirable.
Solid Minerals
Government will urgently create a regime of
internationally competitive incentives to attract private capital for the
accelerated development of the country's vast endowments in solid
minerals. It will provide the resources necessary to enable the National
Mining Corporation complete proving studies to establish the commerciality
of many important deposits of solid minerals.
Attracting
Financial Resources for Development
In view of the envisaged accelerated growth and
development of the economy, government will create the necessary enabling
environment to attract large annual inflows of foreign direct investment.
In this regard, government will ensure:
- Policy consistency and stability
- Removal of all bureaucratic bottlenecks
- Improvement in security of persons and property
- The conclusion of bilateral and multi-lateral
agreements on protection of investments and intellectual property.
- Sanctity of contracts
- Re-orientation of the bureaucracy into a
friendly welcoming facilitator of investments and business.
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